JoeyM

what you guys think? was thinking of a day trip to the tails sat, but looks like sunday will be better. but i also got to work monday and dont wanna be a zombie...


OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1030 AM EDT WED AUG 22 2007
W CENTRAL N ATLC CONTINENTAL SHELF AND SLOPE WATERS BEYOND 20 NM
TO 250 NM OFFSHORE...INCLUDING S OF GEORGES BANK FROM 1000 FM TO
250 NM OFFSHORE
ANZ084-222030-
HUDSON CANYON TO BALTIMORE CANYON INCLUDING THE WATERS S OF 1000
FM OUT TO 40N 65W TO 38N 67W TO 36N 70W.
1030 AM EDT WED AUG 22 2007


FRI AND SAT
S TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING SW 15 TO 20 KT
LATE FRI. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT...HIGHEST FAR SE.
SUN
SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT BECOMING S 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT E OF
68W...SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.

Two Bobs

Good question. I am fishing in top gun and it looks like it's going to be a bit messy.

Chumtini

Sounds like the forecasters are leaning toward 3-5 swells. Bring a raincoat.

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MODELS STILL EXHIBIT QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD THIS MORNING. OPERATIONAL GFS CONTINUE TO BE A BIT FASTER THAN ITS ENSEMBLE MEAN. MEANWHILE THE NAM SOLUTION IS NOW A SLOWER AND STRONGER OUTLIER. 22/00Z GGEM IS SIMILAR TO THE ECMWF AND ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS...AND HAS GOOD CONSISTENCY. THUS HAVE USED THAT CONSENSUS SOLUTION AS THE BASIS FOR THIS FORECAST.

HIGH PRESSURE SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND WILL MOVE FARTHER OFFSHORE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. STILL EXPECTING ENOUGH OR A SURFACE RIDGE TO RESULT IN MAINLY CLOUDS WITH THE ONSET OF ISENTROPIC LIFT.

MORE SUMMER-LIKE WEATHER SHOULD RETURN FRIDAY INTO THIS WEEKEND IN A DEVELOPING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. A COLD FRONT SHOULD SLOWLY MARCH EAST ACROSS OUR REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...PUSHING OFFSHORE BY MONDAY MORNING.

.MARINE...A PERSISTENT ESE SWELL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS TODAY AS HIPRES JUST TO THE NORTH ALLOWS FOR A CONTINUATION OF THE GENERAL EASTERLY WIND. ON THE INNER WATERS/BAYS/HARBORS/SOUNDS...EXPECT EASTERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KT WITH RELATIVELY TRANQUIL SEAS. HOWEVER...COULD SEE A FEW HIGHER SWELLS ACROSS ACK SOUND AS THEY TRACK IN FROM OFF THE OPEN OCEAN. THIS PATTERN CONTINUES FOR TONIGHT WILL LITTLE CHANGE. WILL CONTINUE THE SCA FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FOR ANZ254-255 THROUGH THURSDAY.

AS A RESULT OF THE EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY LONG-PERIOD SWELLS OF AROUND 3 TO 3.5 FEET...THERE WILL BE A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG EAST AND SOUTHEAST-FACING OCEAN BEACHES TODAY.

IN THE LONGER TERM THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...LINGERING SWELLS COULD KEEP SEAS UP AROUND 5 FT ACROSS THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS. HAVE EXTENDED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE OUTER WATERS SOUTH AND EAST OF CAPE COD THROUGH THURSDAY FOR NOW. NOT EXPECTING WINDS TO BE MUCH OF A CONCERN THROUGH SUNDAY.

parapapam

Chum,

Where did you get this forecast? It is better (more detailed) then the ones I've been using.

Mike

Chumtini

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&form at=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

You can hilite changes with "highlight=on" You can turn on the "glossary" by changing the above link to "glossary=1" Took me a while to figure out where ACK SOUND was LOL

As you can see in the discussion notes, the models differ for this weekend. Confidence in the forecast is marginal.

I prefer my forecast: "bring a rain coat"